As I work through business decisions I’m experimenting with foresight inspired models to try to think through all the things.
I came across a great summary of the state of foresight research since the turn of the 21st century and an expansion of the field beyond a primary focus on quantitative models and prediction. I summarized it below and thought I’d share.
State of the art foresight practice:
- Is systematic
- Is participatory
- Combines considerations from science, technology, economy & society
- Gathers intelligence about the future to inform short and medium term decisions and questions
- Isn’t just about predicting the future but managing and influencing it
I really like that. It’s from a paper titled Future of the Polish Textile Industrial Sector. An Overall Analysis of the Empirical Research Performed with the Delphi Method within the Project Foresight ‘Modern Technologies for the Textile Industry. A Chance for Poland